Friday, February 4, 2011

Castle Hill

Current MP: Michael Richardson, since 1993 (Liberal). He is retiring at this election.
Electorates covered by: Mitchell/Berowra
Margin: Liberal by 19.1%
Candidates: The new Liberal candidate is Dominic Perottet, a lawyer associated with the Christian Right of the party. Labor's candidate is Ryan Tracey.
Demographics: The electorate contains the 2nd highest proportion of traditional families (48.9%) and has the 4th highest proportion of dwellings (78.5%). However, in contrast to electorates with similar demographics, it is a safe Liberal electorate, rather than a marginal.
Observation: This seat is a very safe Liberal electorate, and it is very hard to see anything changing in this election.
Prediction: Liberal retain

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