Thursday, January 6, 2011

Bega

Current MP: Andrew Constance (LIB), since 2003.
Margin: LIB by 5.1%
History: Based on the far South Coast in NSW, this is usually a safe Liberal seat. Labor has never won it, however the swing was far smaller than most seats won by the Libs.
Candidates: It is assumed that Andrew Constance is running again. No word on a Labor or other candidates.
Observation: Although the margin is small enough for Labor to win it someday in the future, given the havoc that's likely to spread over NSW this year, it won't happen this time round.
Prediction: Liberal retain

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